Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.114549 0.127258 0.141247 0.157870 0.177188 0.199058 0.225873
2024-10-20 0.095271 0.112091 0.132104 0.157985 0.191041 0.232504 0.289535
2024-10-27 0.080274 0.098518 0.121527 0.153310 0.197117 0.257036 0.348322
2024-11-03 0.072872 0.092777 0.119205 0.157961 0.215352 0.300788 0.445355
2024-11-10 0.066890 0.087792 0.116770 0.161517 0.232144 0.345832 0.558799
2024-11-17 0.060446 0.081205 0.110964 0.158832 0.238403 0.375167 0.655253
2024-11-24 0.054870 0.075150 0.105043 0.154824 0.241378 0.399109 0.750002
2024-12-01 0.049141 0.068262 0.097035 0.146214 0.234706 0.403509 0.805015
2024-12-08 0.046062 0.065046 0.094311 0.145897 0.242643 0.437894 0.943733
2024-12-15 0.044206 0.063509 0.094033 0.149643 0.258751 0.493303 1.164736
2024-12-22 0.041070 0.059679 0.089605 0.145353 0.258162 0.511648 1.292049
2024-12-29 0.039923 0.058932 0.090230 0.150386 0.277628 0.582742 1.632726
2025-01-05 0.037518 0.056012 0.086989 0.147910 0.281100 0.616780 1.879753
2025-01-12 0.035833 0.054177 0.085492 0.148702 0.292251 0.675871 2.286807
2025-01-19 0.033611 0.051272 0.081833 0.144682 0.291412 0.701016 2.574430
2025-01-26 0.032750 0.050639 0.082241 0.149126 0.312193 0.800425 3.380321
2025-02-02 0.031810 0.049789 0.082151 0.152484 0.331055 0.903126 4.411230
2025-02-09 0.030254 0.047732 0.079582 0.150023 0.333814 0.950689 5.167481
2025-02-16 0.028683 0.045553 0.076612 0.146317 0.332440 0.982795 5.887135
2025-02-23 0.026754 0.042622 0.071979 0.138328 0.317468 0.955818 6.013574
2025-03-02 0.025801 0.041429 0.070698 0.138037 0.325098 1.026579 7.381101
2025-03-09 0.025303 0.041043 0.070994 0.141518 0.344952 1.162633 10.170546
2025-03-16 0.024097 0.039266 0.068340 0.137533 0.340650 1.184395 11.447689